It is completely appropriate to my voter apathy that I’m posting my March update near the end of April. The steady march of primaries in March and April have not changed anything substantial in the election, except that the few remaining almost-contenders (except Kasich) have formally dropped out. I’ve stopped watching the debates and news updates and political ads because it is so boring and so disheartening.
The Least You Need to Know
Obama was elected on the promise of “Change.” Vast masses of Trump supporters and Sanders supporters are delivering the message – loud and clear – that [a] they didn’t get the changes they wanted and [b] they are willing to take extreme and inexperienced to get real change. Unfortunately, the most likely outcome in the end will now be “no change at all,” as it increasingly looks like (to me) that Clinton will be elected and continue the current administration policies.
The Voting Formula – Who are you Voting Against?
To be clear, for myself and a lot of voters, there is nobody in the running who I want to vote for President. So, as with many times in the past, we are faced with picking the least bad of the bad choices presented. While every elected official comes in saying they have a “mandate” for their platform, I may write them an explicit letter as the election nears saying “you have my vote in spite of your positions, not because of them.”
The Unreasonable Fantasy
There is a tiny chance that the parties might reach the convention without confirmed candidates and might introduce a new candidate at the convention to bring the party together. Paul Ryan claims he would refuse if it happens, but we can hope, because I would only vote for Trump or Cruz over Sanders.
If I Had to Vote Today
It’s not really going to get any better …
|Republican vs Democrat||Recent Poll says …||I would vote for …|
|Trump vs Clinton||Clinton +11||Clinton|
|Trump vs Sanders||Sanders +14||write-in “Paul Ryan”|
|Cruz vs Clinton||Clinton +2||Clinton|
|Cruz vs Sanders||Sanders +12||write-in “Paul Ryan”|